Down-Sell ARR

Growth

Industry:

SaaS

Short Definition

Down-sell ARR is the decrease in annual recurring revenue (ARR) from existing customers who move to a lower tier/plan or remove a paid module in the period.
It’s a subset of Contraction ARR (reductions without fully churning).
Count it when effective (go-live/start date), not when signed.

Short Definition

Down-sell ARR is the decrease in annual recurring revenue (ARR) from existing customers who move to a lower tier/plan or remove a paid module in the period.
It’s a subset of Contraction ARR (reductions without fully churning).
Count it when effective (go-live/start date), not when signed.

Short Definition

Down-sell ARR is the decrease in annual recurring revenue (ARR) from existing customers who move to a lower tier/plan or remove a paid module in the period.
It’s a subset of Contraction ARR (reductions without fully churning).
Count it when effective (go-live/start date), not when signed.

Why it matters for Investors
  • Revenue headwind: Down-sell ARR reduces ARR, unless offset by new logos or expansion.

  • Margin pressure: When customers downgrade, ARR goes down. Most costs don’t drop much, so margins get squeezed.

  • Quality signal: Persistent down-sell points to weaker pricing power or plan fit and can pull down Net Revenue Retention even if logo churn is stable.

Why it matters for Investors
  • Revenue headwind: Down-sell ARR reduces ARR, unless offset by new logos or expansion.

  • Margin pressure: When customers downgrade, ARR goes down. Most costs don’t drop much, so margins get squeezed.

  • Quality signal: Persistent down-sell points to weaker pricing power or plan fit and can pull down Net Revenue Retention even if logo churn is stable.

Why it matters for Investors
  • Revenue headwind: Down-sell ARR reduces ARR, unless offset by new logos or expansion.

  • Margin pressure: When customers downgrade, ARR goes down. Most costs don’t drop much, so margins get squeezed.

  • Quality signal: Persistent down-sell points to weaker pricing power or plan fit and can pull down Net Revenue Retention even if logo churn is stable.

Formula


Practical considerations:

  • Scope: Existing customers only; new logos excluded.

  • Timing: Count on effective date (go-live); signed-not-live sits in CARR until it starts.

  • Attribution: If a change mixes feature scope and quantity/price cuts, split it: Down-sell = tier drop/module removed; Reduction = fewer seats/lower minimum or price-only cut.

  • Not included: Logo churn (customer to $0), one-off credits, and uncommitted/overage usage.

Formula


Practical considerations:

  • Scope: Existing customers only; new logos excluded.

  • Timing: Count on effective date (go-live); signed-not-live sits in CARR until it starts.

  • Attribution: If a change mixes feature scope and quantity/price cuts, split it: Down-sell = tier drop/module removed; Reduction = fewer seats/lower minimum or price-only cut.

  • Not included: Logo churn (customer to $0), one-off credits, and uncommitted/overage usage.

Formula


Practical considerations:

  • Scope: Existing customers only; new logos excluded.

  • Timing: Count on effective date (go-live); signed-not-live sits in CARR until it starts.

  • Attribution: If a change mixes feature scope and quantity/price cuts, split it: Down-sell = tier drop/module removed; Reduction = fewer seats/lower minimum or price-only cut.

  • Not included: Logo churn (customer to $0), one-off credits, and uncommitted/overage usage.

Worked Example

Starting ARR (Feb 28): $1,200,000
Contract log (March)

Account

Event

Effective by Mar 31?

Account ARR @ Mar-31 ($)

Δ ARR in March ($)

Category

Notes

A

New logo, annual $24,000, starts Mar 4

Yes

$24,000

+$24,000

New Logo

Not Down-sell

B

New logo, annual $36,000, starts Apr 1

No

$0

$0

Booking / CARR

Not effective in March

C

Upsell on existing (+$18,000) effective Mar 15 (prior $50,000)

Yes

$68,000 ($50,000 → $68,000)

+$18,000

Expansion

Not Down-sell

D

Cancellation effective Mar 31 (prior $40,000)

Yes

$0

−$40,000

Churn (Logo Churn)

Logo to $0, this is Logo Churn

E

Year-2 ramp $20,000 → $35,000 on Mar 1

Yes

$35,000

+$15,000

Expansion (ramp)

Not Down-sell

F

Downgrade: Enterprise $50,000 → Standard $42,000 (Mar 20)

Yes

$42,000

−$8,000

Contraction — Down-sell

Tier/plan downgrade

G

Remove Analytics module ($6,000/yr) on Mar 25 (prior total $30,000)

Yes

$24,000 ($30,000 → $24,000)

−$6,000

Contraction — Down-sell

Module removed; account still active


Down-sell ARR (March): $14,000 = $8,000 (F) + $6,000 (G)

ARR Bridge (March):

  • New Logo ARR: +$24,000 (A)

  • Expansion ARR: +$33,000 (C + E)

  • Contraction ARR (Down-sell): −$14,000 (F + G)

  • Logo Churn ARR: −$40,000 (D)

  • Net New ARR: $24,000 + $33,000 − $14,000 − $40,000 = +$3,000

  • Ending ARR (Mar 31): $1,200,000 + $3,000 = $1,203,000


Notes:

  • Only F (tier downgrade) and G (paid module removed) count as Down-sell ARR.

  • B is signed for April → sits in CARR (not ARR/New ARR/Down-sell in March).

  • A (New Logo), C (Upsell/Expansion), and E (Expansion ramp) are not down-sell events.

  • D goes to $0 → classify as Logo Churn, not Down-sell/Contraction.

  • Count changes on the effective (go-live) date only; signed-not-live stays in CARR until it starts.

  • If a single change mixes a feature drop and seats/minimum/price cuts, split it once: feature drop → Down-sell; seats/minimum/price → Reduction.

  • In the bridge, Contraction ARR = Down-sell ARR + Reduction ARR and appears as a negative flow (even if you show absolute amounts in detail).

  • If a Down-sell is reversed in the same period, net it to $0; if reversed later, record the increase as Expansion.

Worked Example

Starting ARR (Feb 28): $1,200,000
Contract log (March)

Account

Event

Effective by Mar 31?

Account ARR @ Mar-31 ($)

Δ ARR in March ($)

Category

Notes

A

New logo, annual $24,000, starts Mar 4

Yes

$24,000

+$24,000

New Logo

Not Down-sell

B

New logo, annual $36,000, starts Apr 1

No

$0

$0

Booking / CARR

Not effective in March

C

Upsell on existing (+$18,000) effective Mar 15 (prior $50,000)

Yes

$68,000 ($50,000 → $68,000)

+$18,000

Expansion

Not Down-sell

D

Cancellation effective Mar 31 (prior $40,000)

Yes

$0

−$40,000

Churn (Logo Churn)

Logo to $0, this is Logo Churn

E

Year-2 ramp $20,000 → $35,000 on Mar 1

Yes

$35,000

+$15,000

Expansion (ramp)

Not Down-sell

F

Downgrade: Enterprise $50,000 → Standard $42,000 (Mar 20)

Yes

$42,000

−$8,000

Contraction — Down-sell

Tier/plan downgrade

G

Remove Analytics module ($6,000/yr) on Mar 25 (prior total $30,000)

Yes

$24,000 ($30,000 → $24,000)

−$6,000

Contraction — Down-sell

Module removed; account still active


Down-sell ARR (March): $14,000 = $8,000 (F) + $6,000 (G)

ARR Bridge (March):

  • New Logo ARR: +$24,000 (A)

  • Expansion ARR: +$33,000 (C + E)

  • Contraction ARR (Down-sell): −$14,000 (F + G)

  • Logo Churn ARR: −$40,000 (D)

  • Net New ARR: $24,000 + $33,000 − $14,000 − $40,000 = +$3,000

  • Ending ARR (Mar 31): $1,200,000 + $3,000 = $1,203,000


Notes:

  • Only F (tier downgrade) and G (paid module removed) count as Down-sell ARR.

  • B is signed for April → sits in CARR (not ARR/New ARR/Down-sell in March).

  • A (New Logo), C (Upsell/Expansion), and E (Expansion ramp) are not down-sell events.

  • D goes to $0 → classify as Logo Churn, not Down-sell/Contraction.

  • Count changes on the effective (go-live) date only; signed-not-live stays in CARR until it starts.

  • If a single change mixes a feature drop and seats/minimum/price cuts, split it once: feature drop → Down-sell; seats/minimum/price → Reduction.

  • In the bridge, Contraction ARR = Down-sell ARR + Reduction ARR and appears as a negative flow (even if you show absolute amounts in detail).

  • If a Down-sell is reversed in the same period, net it to $0; if reversed later, record the increase as Expansion.

Worked Example

Starting ARR (Feb 28): $1,200,000
Contract log (March)

Account

Event

Effective by Mar 31?

Account ARR @ Mar-31 ($)

Δ ARR in March ($)

Category

Notes

A

New logo, annual $24,000, starts Mar 4

Yes

$24,000

+$24,000

New Logo

Not Down-sell

B

New logo, annual $36,000, starts Apr 1

No

$0

$0

Booking / CARR

Not effective in March

C

Upsell on existing (+$18,000) effective Mar 15 (prior $50,000)

Yes

$68,000 ($50,000 → $68,000)

+$18,000

Expansion

Not Down-sell

D

Cancellation effective Mar 31 (prior $40,000)

Yes

$0

−$40,000

Churn (Logo Churn)

Logo to $0, this is Logo Churn

E

Year-2 ramp $20,000 → $35,000 on Mar 1

Yes

$35,000

+$15,000

Expansion (ramp)

Not Down-sell

F

Downgrade: Enterprise $50,000 → Standard $42,000 (Mar 20)

Yes

$42,000

−$8,000

Contraction — Down-sell

Tier/plan downgrade

G

Remove Analytics module ($6,000/yr) on Mar 25 (prior total $30,000)

Yes

$24,000 ($30,000 → $24,000)

−$6,000

Contraction — Down-sell

Module removed; account still active


Down-sell ARR (March): $14,000 = $8,000 (F) + $6,000 (G)

ARR Bridge (March):

  • New Logo ARR: +$24,000 (A)

  • Expansion ARR: +$33,000 (C + E)

  • Contraction ARR (Down-sell): −$14,000 (F + G)

  • Logo Churn ARR: −$40,000 (D)

  • Net New ARR: $24,000 + $33,000 − $14,000 − $40,000 = +$3,000

  • Ending ARR (Mar 31): $1,200,000 + $3,000 = $1,203,000


Notes:

  • Only F (tier downgrade) and G (paid module removed) count as Down-sell ARR.

  • B is signed for April → sits in CARR (not ARR/New ARR/Down-sell in March).

  • A (New Logo), C (Upsell/Expansion), and E (Expansion ramp) are not down-sell events.

  • D goes to $0 → classify as Logo Churn, not Down-sell/Contraction.

  • Count changes on the effective (go-live) date only; signed-not-live stays in CARR until it starts.

  • If a single change mixes a feature drop and seats/minimum/price cuts, split it once: feature drop → Down-sell; seats/minimum/price → Reduction.

  • In the bridge, Contraction ARR = Down-sell ARR + Reduction ARR and appears as a negative flow (even if you show absolute amounts in detail).

  • If a Down-sell is reversed in the same period, net it to $0; if reversed later, record the increase as Expansion.

Best Practices
  • Track what actually started: Record tier/plan downgrades and paid-module removals only when they start (effective date).

  • Don’t count early: Signed-for-later downgrades stay in CARR until they start.

  • Split mixed changes: Down-sell for feature scope; Reduction for seats/minimum/price.

  • Look for patterns: Segment by customer type, plan/module, and reason codes (budget, usage, price).

  • Act on it: Contact downgraded customers, help them move to the right plan, review the modules that many customers drop, and avoid very large discounts at renewal.

Best Practices
  • Track what actually started: Record tier/plan downgrades and paid-module removals only when they start (effective date).

  • Don’t count early: Signed-for-later downgrades stay in CARR until they start.

  • Split mixed changes: Down-sell for feature scope; Reduction for seats/minimum/price.

  • Look for patterns: Segment by customer type, plan/module, and reason codes (budget, usage, price).

  • Act on it: Contact downgraded customers, help them move to the right plan, review the modules that many customers drop, and avoid very large discounts at renewal.

Best Practices
  • Track what actually started: Record tier/plan downgrades and paid-module removals only when they start (effective date).

  • Don’t count early: Signed-for-later downgrades stay in CARR until they start.

  • Split mixed changes: Down-sell for feature scope; Reduction for seats/minimum/price.

  • Look for patterns: Segment by customer type, plan/module, and reason codes (budget, usage, price).

  • Act on it: Contact downgraded customers, help them move to the right plan, review the modules that many customers drop, and avoid very large discounts at renewal.

FAQs
  1. What counts as Down-sell ARR?
    Tier/plan downgrades or removing a paid module that became effective in the period.

  2. Is Down-sell the same as Contraction?
    No. Contraction ARR is the umbrella for ARR lost from customers who stay. It equals Down-sell ARR (tier/plan downgrade or module removed) + Reduction ARR (fewer seats/units, a lower committed minimum, or a price-only decrease at the same tier & quantity).

  3. Does a price-only decrease count as a Down-sell?
    No. That’s Reduction ARR (price), not Down-sell.

  4. What if the customer downgrades and also cuts seats?
    Split the change: attribute the feature drop to Down-sell and the seat cut to Reduction.

  5. Can Down-sell ARR be negative?
    No. It’s a loss metric; decreases are reported as positive amounts in the detail but appear as a negative flow in the bridge.

FAQs
  1. What counts as Down-sell ARR?
    Tier/plan downgrades or removing a paid module that became effective in the period.

  2. Is Down-sell the same as Contraction?
    No. Contraction ARR is the umbrella for ARR lost from customers who stay. It equals Down-sell ARR (tier/plan downgrade or module removed) + Reduction ARR (fewer seats/units, a lower committed minimum, or a price-only decrease at the same tier & quantity).

  3. Does a price-only decrease count as a Down-sell?
    No. That’s Reduction ARR (price), not Down-sell.

  4. What if the customer downgrades and also cuts seats?
    Split the change: attribute the feature drop to Down-sell and the seat cut to Reduction.

  5. Can Down-sell ARR be negative?
    No. It’s a loss metric; decreases are reported as positive amounts in the detail but appear as a negative flow in the bridge.

FAQs
  1. What counts as Down-sell ARR?
    Tier/plan downgrades or removing a paid module that became effective in the period.

  2. Is Down-sell the same as Contraction?
    No. Contraction ARR is the umbrella for ARR lost from customers who stay. It equals Down-sell ARR (tier/plan downgrade or module removed) + Reduction ARR (fewer seats/units, a lower committed minimum, or a price-only decrease at the same tier & quantity).

  3. Does a price-only decrease count as a Down-sell?
    No. That’s Reduction ARR (price), not Down-sell.

  4. What if the customer downgrades and also cuts seats?
    Split the change: attribute the feature drop to Down-sell and the seat cut to Reduction.

  5. Can Down-sell ARR be negative?
    No. It’s a loss metric; decreases are reported as positive amounts in the detail but appear as a negative flow in the bridge.

Related Metrics


Commonly mistaken for:

  • Reduction ARR (fewer seats/units or a lower committed minimum, or a price-only decrease at the same tier & quantity)

  • Logo Churn ARR (customer goes to $0 (contract ends))

Related Metrics


Commonly mistaken for:

  • Reduction ARR (fewer seats/units or a lower committed minimum, or a price-only decrease at the same tier & quantity)

  • Logo Churn ARR (customer goes to $0 (contract ends))

Related Metrics


Commonly mistaken for:

  • Reduction ARR (fewer seats/units or a lower committed minimum, or a price-only decrease at the same tier & quantity)

  • Logo Churn ARR (customer goes to $0 (contract ends))